The National Hurricane Center’s 2025 Tech Improvements - Driven By Braman Motorcars
Bottom Line: As has become customary in advance of Hurricane Season, the National Hurricane Center is deploying additional technics and technology to their forecasting mix. The changes are aimed at improving the accuracy of their forecasting in addition to providing information in a more usable way. This year there are six updates to the products and services for forecasting the 2025 hurricane season.
- Experimental Cone Graphic with a depiction of inland watches and warnings for the United States: This includes enhanced inland advisories on the NHC’s experimental cone forecast.
- U.S. Rip Current Risk Map For Active Tropical Cyclones: Adds rip tide risk to hurricane forecasting.
- Updated Issuance Criteria for Potential Tropical Cyclone Advisory Products: The National Hurricane Center will now provide guidance for potential tropical cyclones up to 72 hours prior to expected formation – up from 48 hours.
- Updates to the Forecast/Advisory (TCM) product including the extension of hurricane-force (74 mph, 64 kt) wind radii forecasts to day 3: Expected hurricane force winds will now be projected 72 hours in advance – up from 48 hours previously.
- Probabilistic Storm Surge for the Hawaiian Islands: Will provide expected storm surge advisories for the Hawaiian Islands up to 72 hours in advance of impact.
- Annual update to the track forecast error cone: The Atlantic Hurricane cone will be 3%-5% smaller, reflecting greater accuracy, while the Pacific cone will be 5%-10% smaller.
That’s a great update as it means all key aspects of storm info that matter to us are improving including the forecasting of hurricanes.