Florida’s Voter Registration by Party – November 20th, 2024
Bottom Line: This is our first voter registration update since the historic presidential election that resulted in Donald Trump winning Florida by over 13-points and a record number of Republicans elected within the state. Voter registration trends have proved to be an effective way to track the state’s political trajectory over the past decade.
It’s safe to say that Florida’s voter registration trends haven’t been the friend of Democrats in recent years. For the better part of twenty years Republicans steadily ate away at the voter registration advantage Florida’s Democrats had held since the onset of partisan voter record keeping in the 1970’s. By November of 2021, amid massive pandemic induced relocations, Republican voter registrations outnumbered Democrats for the first time. And every month since, the GOP advantage by way of voter registration has grown. Last year Florida’s Democrats saw an active voter registration decline of greater than 566,000 voters. In 2024 the trend of a growing Republican advantage in the state has remained the same.
The most recent update from Florida’s Division of Elections reflects voter registration information statewide.
These are the 2024 voter registration changes entering November:
- DEM: +117,859 (+79,445 in October)
- GOP: +450,303 (+136,671 in October)
- NPA/Other: +259,481 (+116,023 in October)
The current breakout of registered voters looks like this...
- DEM: 31.6%
- GOP: 39.4%
- NPA/Other: 30%
The final push to register voters in advance of the general election took place and registrations of all types rose. The gains were clearly not even, however, as the multiyear trends remained the same. Republicans continued to significantly outperform Democrats during the month once again resulting in a record Republican voter registration advantage.
The Republican advantage over Democrats now stands at a record 1,112,145 million voters. That total includes a net change of 57,226 voters in October. Of Florida’s 67 counties – only 10 currently have Democrat majorities by way of voter registration. A county worth watching is one of the largest in the state, Hillsborough, which includes Tampa. Should the current pace of changes in voter registration keep up, it could be the next to flip by the end of the year.