June Hurricane History – 2025 - Driven By Braman Motorcars
Bottom Line: Hurricane season is underway amid a series of preseason hurricane forecasts calling for an above average season this year. Thankfully, we’ve seen no indications of above average activity, or any activity for that matter in the early days of the 2025 hurricane season.
For just the third time in eleven years we’ve entered hurricane season without having had a tropical system develop ahead of it, and for the fourth straight year we’ve not had a named system entering hurricane season. Hopefully that’s a good omen for what’s to come this year.
Entering this year’s hurricane season, Southeast Florida has been historically fortunate. The last storm to register hurricane force winds in our area was Irma in 2017 as she made her way through the Keys and up Florida’s Gulf Coast. The last hurricane to make a direct landfall in Southeast Florida was Wilma in 2005 (after having crossed the state from the Gulf coast). Here’s hoping we add another uneventful year to the tally with better news for the Gulf coast of our state that’s been hit especially hard in recent years.
After having had the influence of El Nino two years ago and La Nina impacting our tropical weather pattern, we’re in a neutral pattern this year.
According to NOAA, here’s what we should expect based on the midpoint of their guidance:
- 60% chance for an above active season
- 13 to 19 named storms
- 6 to 10 hurricanes – 3-5 major (cat 3 or above)
As for what June has historically produced... Since the onset of record keeping for tropical storms and hurricanes in 1851...
- 5% of all tropical storms
- 3% of all hurricanes
Something to keep in mind is that June storms generally form closer to the US and are more likely to make landfall. While just 3% of all hurricanes have formed in June, 7% of all landfalls in the US have occurred during the month. Also, historically, about 3% of the storms that form occur prior to hurricane season... So, statistically we’re already a little of the way through the season as it starts.