Trump’s Momentum Amid a Democrat Collapse – Top 3 Takeaways, October 21st, 2025
Takeaway #1: It’s not working
In today’s Q&A I’ll break down the truth behind how many, and who, turned out to the Marxist-backed ‘No Kings’ protests. Spoiler alert, far fewer than what you’ve been told and confirmation that most of the protesters were older white women...aka 2017’s Nasty Women. I’ve always said that hate doesn’t age well, and these TDS-riddled women are exhibit “A” of that notion on display. But here’s the thing. It’s not working. They’re not winning anyone over to their side. While I’ve continued to document Florida’s move towards the right during this off-election year, we’re continuing to see the trend play out clear across the country this year. Across every state with partisan voter registration information, the trend is the same. A move towards the right by way of voter registration. Year-to-date there’s not a single state that’s shown Democrats performing better than a year ago. And that’s notable given that it was just about a year ago that Trump won the presidency and control, albeit slim, of congress. The trend has been the same in blue states, red states, swing states, and it’s also been demographically consistent too. Democrats continue to shed men, younger voters and Latinos. For perspective on how big the swing could be among the six states that provide monthly voter registration changes (of which Florida is one), the year-over-year change is a net gain for Republicans of 482,000 voters. That's only across six states (Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania), representing 17.9% of the population. In other words, if we index the changes to account for the potential impact across the nation, the estimated change would be nearly 2.7 million more voters who’ve moved towards the right since Election Day last year! The voter registration totals also follow what we’re seeing in party favorability ratings. For example, in Rasmussen’s latest poll, which shows President Trump with a net negative 2% approval rating, Republicans edge Democrats by 3% in favorability which is two points higher than three months ago. What’s more is that back in July independent voters favored Democrats by a point over Republicans, but now Republicans are showing a six-point favorability advantage over swing voters.
Takeaway #2: That matters for two reasons
We’re only two weeks away from elections in Virginia and New Jersey. That means current trends can translate into election outcomes in those two states this year. But it also shows that historical midterm election patterns are potentially set to shift dramatically in advance of next year. Historically the President’s party losses seats in midterm elections. This was certainly true in President Trump’s first term when Democrats gained control of the House by flipping dozen’s seats that led to the two years of impeachment palooza that followed. Across the RealClear Politics average of polls Republicans are performing 8.4-points better on this date than they were in Trump’s first term and 6.8-points better than the popular vote totals in the 2018 midterm elections. In other words, the voter registration trends show a huge shift that’s consistent with the size of the move we’re seeing in the polls too. Objectively it’s clear that the Democrat’s continued leftward lurch and mission that’s seemingly driven by little more than TDS, continues to push voters away from what they have to say. And it’s safe to say on that note that a bunch of older ‘Nasty Women’ with signs won’t likely be changing anyone’s mind. Honestly, who takes a look at those protests and goes, man you know where I wish I could be? It’s just a little bit different than say a Trump rally.
Takeaway #3: It’s three weeks today
Here’s what happened over the past three weeks when 34% of the federal government has been shut down. 1) You likely still haven’t noticed it. 2) President Trump has taken over 50 executive actions that have secured the hostage release of the twenty living Israeli's, brokered a twenty point peace plan in the middle east, taken out what’s estimated to be 30% of the drug running into this country (through the Counter-Narcotics Task Force), brokered a ceasefire between Thailand and Cambodia, raised $5 billion in additional revenue through tariffs, directed the reduction in force of over 4,200 federal employees, negotiated “most favored nation” pricing for prescription drugs with AstraZeneca saving Americans over $15 billion annually on those drugs while also securing an additional $50 billion in R&D investments...and all while seeing the estimated economic growth rate rise to 3.9% most recently according to the Atlanta Federal Reserve. That’s what’s been happening with the President of the United States during the three weeks of the partial federal government shutdown that Democrats orchestrated. So really, what they’re doing isn’t working but President Trump is and its increasingly clear what side most Americans are on and it isn’t the side with TDS-riddled Nasty Women of yesteryear.